Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1100.231473 1247.653164 1411.240728 1606.884425 1835.355091 2094.744499 2412.970987
2025-08-31 877.774126 1073.155210 1310.260190 1621.959553 2025.037229 2534.327640 3235.533045
2025-09-07 763.580897 980.546709 1259.890017 1651.415628 2194.883472 2936.010756 4046.798149
2025-09-14 656.947984 875.340423 1169.415693 1602.474458 2237.990338 3159.301296 4639.731281
2025-09-21 576.636518 792.130032 1093.333384 1555.780203 2267.545834 3355.828900 5216.136218
2025-09-28 510.453318 719.555399 1021.260277 1501.426810 2271.848009 3506.678514 5738.491467
2025-10-05 483.628998 700.074176 1022.798573 1556.074586 2450.192388 3957.625165 6853.074883
2025-10-12 453.615993 672.031340 1007.225148 1579.891683 2578.777054 4342.264717 7926.177612
2025-10-19 425.319474 643.432200 987.034104 1592.270217 2687.315208 4705.912893 9034.922827
2025-10-26 400.126692 617.112491 967.324859 1602.068049 2790.874356 5074.664881 10234.852054
2025-11-02 384.188621 604.142756 967.946168 1646.786885 2964.213778 5606.294423 11915.133758
2025-11-09 366.840745 587.123358 959.701791 1673.776415 3106.135424 6097.207019 13626.426006
2025-11-16 348.773706 567.922393 946.811063 1692.491983 3238.491483 6601.597331 15539.066457
2025-11-23 331.159913 548.108411 931.091160 1704.190003 3358.973842 7105.328472 17611.527401
2025-11-30 317.952712 534.882586 925.909557 1735.712619 3526.284963 7750.243001 20282.155703
2025-12-07 295.259274 502.683456 882.377108 1683.798804 3499.450474 7917.859041 21605.636505
2025-12-14 275.009803 473.492603 842.120392 1634.303740 3471.069111 8076.399869 22955.773060
2025-12-21 255.622408 444.574094 800.111154 1576.708333 3415.738026 8155.048802 24077.577017
2025-12-28 250.670246 442.541198 810.661344 1634.615666 3648.973987 9061.992117 28381.591060
2026-01-04 242.517717 433.724988 806.809336 1659.860108 3804.681997 9787.032340 32339.847942
2026-01-11 233.713874 422.992459 798.112957 1672.982072 3931.239824 10456.026027 36382.761735
2026-01-18 225.255613 412.348332 788.707898 1683.369106 4052.327142 11137.404593 40802.685646
2026-01-25 220.628547 409.059209 794.517730 1730.785642 4282.964974 12225.577749 47581.706618